La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Östers IF v Ljungskile SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Östers IF (Local)
Predicción 40.34%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.28%40.38%40.42%41.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.4047.62%44.14%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ljungskile SK (Visitante)
Predicción 33.66%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.96%33.62%33.64%35.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.31%36.23%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -0.902%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.55%26.00%25.94%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.75%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -7.11%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.96%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -3.59%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.00%EV -4.56%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.43%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.43%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.34%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.64%EV -6.77%E -2.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 13:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -2.39%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.49%E -4.80%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.48%E -0.662%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 04:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 07:44 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 07:56 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 16:56 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.44%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 07:36 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.88%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 20:46 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.48%E -4.37%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-14 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.49%E -4.80%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -13.27%E -6.17%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -14.17%E -5.56%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -15.29%E -7.28%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.37%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |