The School of Odds

Östers IF v IK Brage

2026-07-18 15:00 — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Östers IF (Local)

1.8354.64%Min
1.9750.81%Mean
2.0050.13%Median
2.0648.54%Max
44.77%2.233Min
47.25%2.117Max
46.20%2.164Mean
46.24%2.163Median
46.32%2.159IQM
46.27%2.161Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.06 under the IQM model: 46.32%

EV -4.59%Edge -2.23%Kelly -4.33%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: IK Brage (Visit)

2.8834.72%Min
3.1032.23%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3030.30%Max
28.77%3.476Min
29.88%3.347Max
29.03%3.445Mean
28.85%3.466Median
28.87%3.464IQM
29.00%3.448Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.87%

EV -4.72%Edge -1.43%Kelly -2.05%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.4029.41%Min
3.6527.37%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
4.0025.00%Max
23.03%4.342Min
26.34%3.797Max
24.77%4.038Mean
24.91%4.015Median
24.81%4.030IQM
24.73%4.044Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.81%

EV -0.751%Edge -0.188%Kelly -0.250%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerÖsters IF (Local) ▼IK Brage (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.06I 48.54% NM 46.16%EV -4.59% E -2.23% K -4.33% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.82%EV -4.72% E -1.43% K -2.05% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.02%EV -5.71% E -1.50% K -2.04% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-02 12:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50% NM 46.29%EV -6.44% E -3.19% K -6.32% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.77%EV -6.17% E -1.90% K -2.74% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.94%EV -6.95% E -1.85% K -2.53% G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
NordicBet2.02I 49.50% NM 46.29%EV -6.44% E -3.19% K -6.32% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.77%EV -6.17% E -1.90% K -2.74% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.94%EV -6.95% E -1.85% K -2.53% G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
1xBet2.01I 49.75% NM 46.34%EV -6.91% E -3.44% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.21I 31.15% NM 29.02%EV -7.32% E -2.28% K -3.31% G +0.000%3.78I 26.46% NM 24.64%EV -6.21% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:50
888sport2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -7.37% E -3.68% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -10.50% E -3.39% K -5.00% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.64% E -4.60% K -6.52% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -7.37% E -3.68% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -10.50% E -3.39% K -5.00% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.64% E -4.60% K -6.52% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 13:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -7.37% E -3.68% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -10.50% E -3.39% K -5.00% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.64% E -4.60% K -6.52% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -7.37% E -3.68% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -10.50% E -3.39% K -5.00% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.64% E -4.60% K -6.52% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 13:59
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25% NM 46.55%EV -7.83% E -3.94% K -7.91% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.95%EV -7.61% E -2.38% K -3.46% G +0.000%3.78I 26.46% NM 24.51%EV -6.21% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 14:49
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51% NM 46.06%EV -8.29% E -4.19% K -8.46% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.95%EV -9.05% E -2.87% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.99%EV -9.44% E -2.59% K -3.56% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-02 10:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28% NM 47.25%EV -9.68% E -4.97% K -10.19% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.72%EV -10.50% E -3.39% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.03%EV -0.751% E -0.188% K -0.250% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 13:19
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36% NM 46.74%EV -11.54% E -6.04% K -12.68% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.76%EV -13.38% E -4.46% K -6.69% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.50%EV -5.71% E -1.50% K -2.04% G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-30 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 46.74%EV -11.54% E -6.04% K -12.68% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.76%EV -13.38% E -4.46% K -6.69% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.50%EV -5.71% E -1.50% K -2.04% G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-30 13:39
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 45.37%EV -11.54% E -6.04% K -12.68% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 29.88%EV -16.27% E -5.61% K -8.56% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.76%EV -13.16% E -3.76% K -5.26% G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-30 13:19
SportsBet1.90I 52.63% NM 46.73%EV -12.00% E -6.32% K -13.33% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.60%EV -13.38% E -4.46% K -6.69% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.68%EV -6.95% E -1.85% K -2.53% G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-30 13:09
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 46.33%EV -15.24% E -8.33% K -18.36% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.44%EV -16.85% E -5.85% K -8.96% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.23%EV -13.16% E -3.76% K -5.26% G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-30 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth