The School of Odds

Östers IF v IK Brage

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 15:00 UTC

Final: Östers IF 3–2 IK Brage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.03%44.76%44.67%47.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1853%49%49%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IK Brage (Visit)

Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.51%30.59%31.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2037%33%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%24.73%24.74%25.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.673.653.9529%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 14:45
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 14:45
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.17%EV -3.63%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.98%EV -5.68%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 14:55
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -4.52%E -2.11%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%EV -7.22%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -9.37%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 14:55
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.86%E -2.78%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.19%E -0.554%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 11:35
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 14:45
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 14:49
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 14:45
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 14:43
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 14:50
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.31%E -3.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.60%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 14:50
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.20%E -3.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -12.09%E -3.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 14:50
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.75%EV -7.64%E -3.69%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -6.91%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -7.39%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.01%E -0.628%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.01%E -0.628%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:40
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.01%E -0.628%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:40
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -8.09%E -3.93%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -2.01%E -0.628%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 14:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 14:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:45
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 14:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 14:45
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 14:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 14:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 14:45
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 14:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 14:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.54%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 14:50
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 14:40
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.62%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 14:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -7.14%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 14:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.77%E -5.38%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.13%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 14:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -11.66%E -5.89%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.26%E -5.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-18 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -12.11%E -6.15%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 14:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -17.32%E -6.42%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-18 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.23%E -8.02%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -3.43%E -0.879%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-07-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-18 14:45