Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 17:05 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 0–1 Östersunds FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 35.52%2.82fair odd
EV +0.165%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.36%35.42%35.55%36.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.8241.67%38.46%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV -0.558%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.10%36.20%36.06%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.7644.44%40.22%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -0.422%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.169%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.38%28.39%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.65%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 35.52%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 36.03%; Draw: 28.45%. For Örebro SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.815. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.820, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.165%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.36%EV +0.165%E +0.058%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -12.09%E -4.95%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.32%E -0.844%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.422%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.32%E -0.844%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.422%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.32%E -0.844%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.422%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.32%E -0.844%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.422%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.27%EV -2.36%E -0.871%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.32%EV -7.25%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -15.33%E -6.52%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -4.52%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -16.41%E -7.07%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -4.69%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -17.85%E -7.83%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -7.04%E -2.73%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.39%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 17:00
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.60%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.52%EV -7.29%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV -5.24%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.422%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 16:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 16:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -18.93%E -8.41%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -18.93%E -8.41%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -8.36%E -3.24%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.10%EV -0.558%E -0.202%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -8.36%E -3.24%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.10%EV -0.558%E -0.202%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:00
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -8.36%E -3.24%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.10%EV -0.558%E -0.202%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 17:00
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.55%EV -9.07%E -3.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.85%EV -5.96%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.60%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.961%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 16:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.93%E -3.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.50%EV -12.98%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.50%EV -11.73%E -4.79%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -14.65%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-07 17:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.75%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.53%E -5.64%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-07 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-07 17:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-07 17:00