Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 3.87
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 49.21%; Ljungskile SK (Visit): 25.68%; Draw: 25.11%. For Ljungskile SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.87, with an expected value of -0.615%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -1.58%E -0.792%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -1.58%E -0.792%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -1.58%E -0.792%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -1.58%E -0.792%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.38%EV -8.58%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.45%EV -7.34%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -20.39%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.54%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -5.52%E -2.88%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.37%EV -5.52%E -2.88%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.16%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.36%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.59%EV -0.615%E -0.159%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.38%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.07%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.38%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.07%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 10:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 10:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.34%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 10:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.79%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%EV -11.92%E -6.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -13.89%E -7.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -13.89%E -7.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-11 10:53 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 10:54 |