A Escola das Odds

Örebro SK v IK Brage

Início: 2026-05-08 17:02 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 0–3 IK Brage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Previsão 37.24%2.69odd justa
EV -0.948%
Vantagem -0.356%
Kelly -0.571%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.44%37.49%37.26%41.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.6644.44%41.28%41.67%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 35.73%2.80odd justa
EV +3.61%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.85%35.37%35.83%36.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.642.622.9041.67%37.92%38.17%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.03%3.70odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.92%27.14%26.91%29.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.363.403.6534.72%29.72%29.41%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -13.61%E -5.87%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV +3.61%E +1.25%K +1.90%G +0.069%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.32%E -0.363%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -15.10%E -6.62%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 16:46
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%EV -2.81%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.84%EV -2.10%E -0.768%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -9.71%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -16.22%E -7.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 17:00
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:00
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:59
BetAnything2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:59
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -7.65%E -3.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -7.82%E -3.03%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:58
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:54
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.14%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.14%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.14%E -7.69%K -11.78%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -12.47%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 17:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.25%E -5.94%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 16:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.25%E -5.94%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00