La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-05-08 17:02 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 0–3 IK Brage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 37.24%2.69momio equitativo
EV -0.948%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.571%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.44%37.49%37.26%41.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.6644.44%41.28%41.67%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 35.73%2.80momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.069%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.85%35.37%35.83%36.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.622.9041.67%37.92%38.17%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.14%26.91%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.6534.72%29.72%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -13.61%E -5.87%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV +3.61%E +1.25%K +1.90%G +0.069%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.32%E -0.363%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -12.49%E -5.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV +1.83%E +0.640%K +0.987%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.039%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -15.10%E -6.62%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 16:46
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%EV -2.81%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.84%EV -2.10%E -0.768%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -9.71%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -16.22%E -7.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 17:00
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 17:00
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:59
BetAnything2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -0.948%E -0.356%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:59
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.16%E -2.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:59
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.34%EV -7.65%E -3.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -7.82%E -3.03%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 17:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:58
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:54
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.77%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 16:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.91%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -16.19%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.14%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 17:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.63%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.14%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.14%E -7.69%K -11.78%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-08 17:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -12.47%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 17:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.25%E -5.94%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 16:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.25%E -5.94%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-08 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 16:59
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-05-08 17:00