The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Örebro SK v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 18:05 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 1–0 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 36.00%2.78fair odd
EV +0.799%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.03%35.80%36.17%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.8041.67%39.29%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 37.55%2.66fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.11%37.88%37.23%40.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5945.45%41.56%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV +0.518%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.32%26.60%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.8030.77%28.88%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 36.00%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 37.55%; Draw: 26.45%. For Örebro SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.799%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV +0.799%E +0.285%K +0.444%G +0.004%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -12.51%E -5.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.518%E +0.136%K +0.185%G +0.001%4.9%2026-10-26 17:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 17:46
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.25%EV -4.96%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.24%EV -3.50%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.51%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.54%EV -6.04%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -5.30%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 18:00
Betsson🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.05%EV -6.04%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.88%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.19%EV -8.48%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -15.52%E -6.90%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-26 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.12%E -2.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.38%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.12%E -2.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.38%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.12%E -2.76%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.38%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 18:00
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.82%EV -7.48%E -2.91%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.73%EV -8.38%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -7.95%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.82%EV -7.48%E -2.91%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.73%EV -8.38%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -7.95%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 17:44
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-26 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -5.38%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 17:50
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 17:49
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:46
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:46
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:46
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -15.52%E -6.90%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-26 17:46
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 17:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 18:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 17:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 18:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 17:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.03%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -17.39%E -7.91%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-26 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.32%EV -10.72%E -4.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.28%EV -16.27%E -7.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-26 17:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.32%EV -10.72%E -4.32%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.28%EV -16.27%E -7.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-26 17:46
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-26 17:46
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-26 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-26 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-10-26 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-26 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-26 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-26 18:00