The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Norrby IF v Sandvikens IF

2026-08-23 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.578%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.16%41.56%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.4546.51%44.14%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.99%33.28%32.96%35.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.632.9140.00%37.29%38.02%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%25.57%25.48%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7430.30%28.71%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norrby IF (Local): 41.39%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 33.04%; Draw: 25.57%. For Norrby IF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.45, producing a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +1.42%E +0.578%K +0.977%G +0.014%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +1.42%E +0.578%K +0.977%G +0.014%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -1.48%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -13.11%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -1.48%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -13.11%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:04
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -15.76%E -6.18%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.42%EV -5.62%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -17.41%E -6.96%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.42%EV -5.62%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -17.41%E -6.96%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:04
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -13.44%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 18:59
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.43%EV -6.42%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 19:09
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.55%EV -8.52%E -3.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.31%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.14%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -6.18%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -6.42%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 19:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -13.44%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 19:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -17.41%E -6.96%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-16 18:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -14.10%E -5.42%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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