Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Sandvikens IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 15:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 1–1 Sandvikens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.34%40.36%40.17%43.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4548.78%43.52%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 33.62%2.97fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.16%33.55%33.66%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.9440.00%37.27%37.04%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.09%26.17%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.453.7530.30%28.76%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 40.27%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 33.62%; Draw: 26.10%. For Sandvikens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -11.58%E -4.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 04:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -11.58%E -4.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 04:19
Coolbet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.96%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.18%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 09:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -8.55%E -3.14%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:55
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -8.55%E -3.14%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.34%EV -7.88%E -2.87%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 18:57
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -5.19%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.90%E -4.11%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 06:15
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:04
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -14.27%E -5.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 15:05
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 06:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.35%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.07%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.42%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.95%E -6.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.42%EV -8.18%E -3.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.95%E -6.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:04
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%EV -8.98%E -3.97%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%EV -1.15%E -0.392%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:44
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.86%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 04:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.91%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 10:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.91%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 10:59
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -15.95%E -6.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-20 15:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.22%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 14:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.54%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -15.95%E -6.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-23 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.43%E -7.35%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -2.50%E -0.861%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -17.44%E -8.51%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -11.91%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%1.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-08-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-08-23 14:50