Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Östers IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 2–0 Östers IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.982%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.63%47.59%47.68%50.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.952.0855.56%51.45%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.724%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%28.05%28.07%29.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.203.5033.90%30.98%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.18%24.36%24.25%25.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.674.0429.41%27.24%27.21%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 47.57%; Östers IF (Visit): 28.05%; Draw: 24.38%. For Norrby IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -1.06%E -0.510%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.50%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.38%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.12%EV -8.82%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:46
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -3.91%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:31
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.82%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -11.02%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -17.24%E -5.84%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-01 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -17.24%E -5.84%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-01 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.21%E -0.932%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.21%E -0.932%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.70%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 14:41
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:44
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:35
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -7.24%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.84%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:35
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.81%E -0.517%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -1.51%E -0.373%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:46
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -8.67%E -4.52%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.64%EV -8.33%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -8.67%E -4.52%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -11.63%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.67%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 14:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:40
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -7.42%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.82%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.45%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.23%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.82%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.82%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -12.48%E -6.78%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.62%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:37
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.03%E -4.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-10 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-10-10 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-10-10 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-10-10 14:50
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-10-10 14:41