Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Östers IF

2026-10-10 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

44%

31%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd

EV -6.33%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -5.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.29%44.19%44.28%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.80%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd

EV -7.34%

Edge -2.43%

Kelly -3.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.00%30.68%30.70%31.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.752.932.923.0236.36%34.07%34.19%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd

EV -4.49%

Edge -1.18%

Kelly -1.61%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.07%25.13%25.03%26.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.403.553.583.8029.41%28.16%27.97%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Norrby IF (Local): 44.19%; Östers IF (Visit): 30.68%; Draw: 25.13%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -4.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
NordicBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.33%E -2.98%K -5.65%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-22 09:24
1xBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -7.34%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -7.51%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-22 09:48
LeoVegas🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.21%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-22 09:29
Marathon Bet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.28%EV -8.09%E -3.89%K -7.49%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17%NM 25.03%EV -7.51%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-22 09:25
FanDuel🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -9.42%E -4.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-09-22 09:27
William Hill🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-09-22 09:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-09-22 09:29
888sport🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-09-22 09:29
888sport (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.42%E -4.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-09-22 09:29
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.63%E -5.81%K -11.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-22 09:28
SportsBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 44.35%EV -12.07%E -6.07%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-09-22 09:24
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -13.84%E -7.10%K -14.57%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-09-22 09:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.