La escuela de los momios

Norrby IF v Ljungskile SK

Inicio: 2026-05-23 11:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 2–1 Ljungskile SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Predicción 32.27%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.90%32.25%32.29%33.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.872.883.0538.17%34.80%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Predicción 40.22%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.79%40.20%40.20%41.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.282.4247.62%44.15%43.86%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.51%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.55%27.51%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.18%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -1.57%E -0.515%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 10:39
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -1.57%E -0.515%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 10:40
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -1.57%E -0.515%K -0.766%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 10:39
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:20
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:25
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:19
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:20
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.12%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 10:20
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.79%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:40
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.77%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 20:30
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.12%EV -7.09%E -3.07%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.67%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 10:50
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:49
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 02:49
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:50
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 10:39
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 02:49
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 02:49
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.06%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 10:19
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.03%E -2.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.03%E -2.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 10:39
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.03%E -2.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 10:39
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.03%E -2.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.64%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 11:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.64%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.64%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 10:40
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 12:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 17:24
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 08:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 07:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 07:49
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 07:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 07:49
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.87%E -4.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 10:19
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.87%E -4.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-20 11:18
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.87%E -4.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -11.52%E -5.23%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-23 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -12.87%E -4.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -17.48%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-17 17:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.45%E -5.90%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-23 08:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-05-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-23 10:40