L’École des cotes

Norrby IF v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.785%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.33%34.44%34.40%36.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.642.622.8840.32%37.83%38.17%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.77%2.65cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.85%37.74%37.80%40.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.452.5844.44%40.74%40.82%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.789%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.82%27.80%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -0.785%E -0.273%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.56%E -0.991%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -0.785%E -0.273%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.56%E -0.991%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 07:19
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.00%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -7.49%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 10:54
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:44
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 12:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.22%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 03:35
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.22%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 03:35
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -6.71%E -2.72%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.43%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:54
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.55%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.99%E -3.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:54
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -2.76%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:19
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.49%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 07:09
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 03:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:19
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.49%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:49
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 12:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:54
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:54
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:55
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:55
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:09
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 13:30
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 13:29
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -12.15%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 13:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.99%E -6.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-04 13:09
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -14.57%E -5.87%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55