La escuela de los momios

Norrby IF v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Predicción 34.45%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.785%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.418%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.33%34.44%34.40%36.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.642.622.8840.32%37.83%38.17%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 37.77%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.991%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.85%37.74%37.80%40.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.5844.44%40.74%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.82%27.80%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -0.785%E -0.273%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.56%E -0.991%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -0.785%E -0.273%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.56%E -0.991%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 07:19
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.00%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -7.49%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.54%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -15.02%E -6.68%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 10:54
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:44
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 12:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.22%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 03:35
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.22%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 03:35
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -6.71%E -2.72%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.43%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:54
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.55%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.99%E -3.08%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 12:54
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -2.76%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:19
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.49%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 07:09
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 03:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 00:04
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:19
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.49%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:49
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -9.40%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:50
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 12:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:54
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 12:54
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:55
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:55
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:54
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.58%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:55
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 10:09
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.36%E -3.90%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 13:30
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.43%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.49%E -4.43%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 13:29
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -12.15%E -4.77%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -7.47%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 12:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.11%E -4.25%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 13:09
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.13%E -5.71%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.99%E -6.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-04 13:09
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -14.57%E -5.87%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-05 12:55