The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Norrby IF v IFK Värnamo

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 0–3 IFK Värnamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.87%38.99%38.67%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.312.302.5046.73%43.22%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 34.70%2.88fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.63%34.51%34.73%35.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.8540.00%37.36%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -0.362%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.50%26.60%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.453.7530.77%29.03%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 38.73%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 34.70%; Draw: 26.57%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.362%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.14%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.63%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.68%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -6.28%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.18%EV -5.96%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.362%E -0.096%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 07:55
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.20%EV -6.66%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.88%EV -8.39%E -3.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.20%EV -6.66%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.88%EV -8.39%E -3.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -9.13%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 13:49
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.16%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -4.23%E -1.53%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.78%EV -6.74%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:20
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -13.65%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.99%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.99%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 13:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.04%E -3.04%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -8.74%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.74%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.74%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.08%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.78%E -3.76%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.70%E -5.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.10%E -0.387%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.02%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 08:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.70%E -5.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.10%E -0.387%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.02%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.70%E -5.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.10%E -0.387%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.02%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.70%E -5.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.10%E -0.387%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.02%E -0.827%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 09:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-31 13:30
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 08:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 08:55
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 09:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 09:00
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -15.96%E -7.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -6.31%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.33%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -16.73%E -7.78%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -16.73%E -7.78%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.25%E -5.30%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 06:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.03%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -8.04%E -3.04%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-27 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.03%EV -17.12%E -8.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -8.04%E -3.04%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-27 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-10-31 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-10-31 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-10-31 13:55
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-10-31 13:55