L’École des cotes

Norrby IF v Falkenbergs FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 11:00 UTC

Score final : Norrby IF 2–2 Falkenbergs FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Prévision 32.15%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.940%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.62%32.16%32.20%33.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0538.46%35.72%35.71%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.02%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.799%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.22%40.02%39.97%42.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.332.4546.51%42.96%42.92%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.908%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.89%27.82%27.83%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.4833.33%30.38%30.30%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -1.93%E -0.632%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.20%EV -7.56%E -3.27%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 07:25
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 10:55
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:20
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:19
BetAnything2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:20
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -13.96%E -6.49%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 23:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 10:54
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.07%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:00
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 06:10
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 10:55
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.30%EV -9.64%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.82%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.16%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 06:54
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:53
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:54
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 11:05
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 10:10
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 11:04
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 11:04
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 06:53
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.87%EV -14.79%E -5.58%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 10:25
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -15.43%E -5.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 06:51
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -15.75%E -6.01%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -16.40%E -6.31%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-19 06:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-04-19 10:55