La escuela de los momios

Norrby IF v Falkenbergs FF

Inicio: 2026-04-19 11:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 2–2 Falkenbergs FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Predicción 32.15%3.11momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.940%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.62%32.16%32.20%33.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0538.46%35.72%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Predicción 40.02%2.50momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.22%40.02%39.97%42.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.332.4546.51%42.96%42.92%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.908%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%27.82%27.83%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.4833.33%30.38%30.30%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -1.93%E -0.632%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.20%EV -7.56%E -3.27%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 07:25
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 10:55
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:20
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:19
BetAnything2.96I 33.78%NM 31.73%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.56%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 04:20
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -13.96%E -6.49%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 23:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.75%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 10:54
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.07%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:54
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:00
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 06:10
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 15:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.36%E -2.93%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 10:55
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.30%EV -9.64%E -3.43%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.82%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.16%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.96%E -0.799%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:25
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 06:54
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:53
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:54
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:55
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.97%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 11:05
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 10:10
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 11:04
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 11:04
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 06:53
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.87%EV -14.79%E -5.58%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -6.76%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 10:25
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -15.43%E -5.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 06:51
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -15.75%E -6.01%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -16.40%E -6.31%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-19 06:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-04-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-04-19 10:55