The School of Odds
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Nordic United FC v Varbergs BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 13:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 0–0 Varbergs BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.16%40.34%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.3847.62%43.44%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.48%33.26%33.08%35.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9039.22%36.24%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.58%26.58%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.6631.25%29.19%28.99%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 40.35%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 33.10%; Draw: 26.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.66, with an expected value of -2.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:58
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:58
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 12:14
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:59
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.14%EV -6.66%E -2.36%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -15.60%E -6.12%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 12:49
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -5.98%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -4.67%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -2.84%E -0.775%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -6.38%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:54
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -6.38%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:50
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:49
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -6.66%E -2.36%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:58
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -7.99%E -3.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -12.29%E -4.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 13:09
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:44
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:14
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:14
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.63%E -3.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 12:59
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.28%E -5.07%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-12 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.94%E -5.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -15.05%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.94%E -5.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -15.05%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.11%EV -12.03%E -5.52%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.29%E -4.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-15 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -15.26%E -7.27%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.28%E -5.07%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-15 09:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-15 12:50
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-15 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-08-15 12:59