The School of Odds
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Nordic United FC v Norrby IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 11:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 2–1 Norrby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.35%32.91%32.32%40.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.772.752.9743.86%36.08%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 43.22%2.31fair odd
EV +15.41%
Edge +5.77%
Kelly +9.23%
Growth +1.42%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%42.58%43.28%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.152.6750.76%46.33%46.51%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV +0.166%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%24.51%24.40%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.704.1028.99%27.03%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 32.35%; Norrby IF (Visit): 43.22%; Draw: 24.43%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -26.25%E -11.51%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV +15.41%E +5.77%K +9.23%G +1.42%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.15%EV -10.58%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-14 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -1.45%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -1.45%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -1.45%E -0.636%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:54
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.25%EV -15.90%E -6.12%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -15.71%E -4.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 10:20
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.05%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 10:34
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:54
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:54
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -14.28%E -5.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:55
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.30%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.51%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.19%EV -3.74%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -5.55%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 10:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -5.55%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 10:39
BetUS🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -5.55%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 10:39
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -5.55%E -1.90%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 10:39
Betsson🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.68%EV -3.93%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.56%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -7.16%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.16%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 10:05
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 10:44
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 10:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.16%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 10:40
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.69%EV -22.37%E -9.32%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 10:14
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.166%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -15.90%E -6.12%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.93%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -15.71%E -4.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -15.90%E -6.12%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.93%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -15.71%E -4.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 10:04
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 10:39
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -7.82%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.16%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 10:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 10:24
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 10:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.38%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 10:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 10:34
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 10:34
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -7.49%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.75%EV -10.09%E -4.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV +0.166%E +0.040%K +0.054%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 10:05
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -10.09%E -4.85%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 10:19
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 10:39
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.01%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-18 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-10-18 10:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-10-18 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-10-18 10:35
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.33%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-10-18 10:35