Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC v IK Oddevold

Início: 2026-06-27 15:02 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 3–3 IK Oddevold

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Previsão 36.43%2.75odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.22%36.35%36.46%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.532.542.6543.48%39.50%39.37%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Previsão 36.31%2.75odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.590%
Kelly -0.935%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.04%36.18%36.31%37.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.532.502.7142.02%39.57%40.00%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.26%3.67odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.669%
Kelly -0.928%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.32%27.47%27.23%30.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.363.403.5834.72%29.79%29.41%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nordic United FC (Local): 36.43%; IK Oddevold (Visitante): 36.31%; Empate: 27.26%. Para IK Oddevold (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.71, com valor esperado de -1.60%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.32%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68%EV -2.39%E -0.669%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 14:59
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 15:00
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.11%EV -1.60%E -0.590%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 14:59
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 14:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -19.57%E -6.63%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 15:00
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.12%EV -5.96%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 14:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 14:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.92%EV -11.77%E -4.84%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 14:59
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 14:59
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-27 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.48%E -7.46%K -11.42%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-27 14:59
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.31%E -5.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.58%E -5.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-27 14:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -16.22%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 14:59