La escuela de los momios

Nordic United FC v IK Oddevold

Inicio: 2026-06-27 15:02 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 3–3 IK Oddevold

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Predicción 36.43%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.22%36.35%36.46%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.542.6543.48%39.50%39.37%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 36.31%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.590%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.04%36.18%36.31%37.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.532.502.7142.02%39.57%40.00%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -0.928%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.47%27.23%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.5834.72%29.79%29.41%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.32%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 15:00
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68%EV -2.39%E -0.669%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 14:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 15:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.29%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.95%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 14:59
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.11%EV -1.60%E -0.590%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 14:59
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 15:00
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 14:59
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 15:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 14:48
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -7.12%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -3.78%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -19.57%E -6.63%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 14:59
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 15:00
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
BetAnything2.54I 39.37%NM 37.16%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:59
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.84%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.12%EV -5.96%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 14:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 14:58
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-27 14:59
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 14:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -8.94%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.92%EV -11.77%E -4.84%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:59
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 15:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.41%E -2.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 14:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:59
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 14:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.76%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-27 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.86%E -5.36%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.48%E -7.46%K -11.42%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-27 14:59
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.31%E -5.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.58%E -5.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-27 14:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -16.22%E -7.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.6%2026-06-27 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 15:00
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-06-27 14:59