The School of Odds
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Nordic United FC v GIF Sundsvall

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 4–2 GIF Sundsvall

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 61.60%1.62fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -6.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.26%61.70%61.66%64.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.481.5673.53%67.82%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visit)

Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +4.92%
Edge +0.820%
Kelly +0.985%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.25%17.47%17.47%19.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.275.256.0022.22%18.96%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.91%4.78fair odd
EV +6.64%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%20.83%20.86%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.405.1025.00%22.83%22.73%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 61.60%; GIF Sundsvall (Visit): 17.49%; Draw: 20.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -9.44%E -6.42%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV +1.43%E +0.246%K +0.297%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +6.64%E +1.30%K +1.62%G +0.107%4.9%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -10.67%E -7.36%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +4.92%E +0.820%K +0.985%G +0.048%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -1.73%E -0.367%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -10.67%E -7.36%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +4.92%E +0.820%K +0.985%G +0.048%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -1.73%E -0.367%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -10.67%E -7.36%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +4.92%E +0.820%K +0.985%G +0.048%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -1.73%E -0.367%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.73%EV -8.83%E -5.96%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.75%EV -1.73%E -0.367%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 13:54
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -4.51%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.66%EV -12.04%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.77%EV -5.49%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 13:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -11.91%E -8.33%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.95%EV -12.52%E -8.82%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -9.07%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 13:50
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.13%EV -5.39%E -0.997%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -8.21%E -5.51%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.22%EV -6.44%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.19%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.31%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.83%E -5.96%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -9.44%E -6.42%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -8.83%E -5.96%K -18.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -13.76%E -9.83%K -34.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -3.82%E -0.695%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-27 09:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -16.22%E -11.93%K -45.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.25%EV +0.551%E +0.096%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.26%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-28 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.275%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.04%EV -9.67%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -14.99%E -10.86%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -14.99%E -10.86%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.85%EV -10.67%E -7.36%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 13:49
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 13:40
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 13:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.29%E -7.84%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.29%E -7.84%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -21.31%E -4.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-31 13:54
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.36%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.36%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.36%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.36%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.32%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%1.6%2026-10-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-10-31 13:50

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