Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v Sandvikens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 13:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 2–1 Sandvikens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 50.71%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -4.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.19%50.78%50.81%53.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.821.8958.82%55.06%54.95%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.76%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.954%
Avantage -0.238%
Kelly -0.318%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.55%24.66%24.73%26.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.05%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.91%24.56%24.45%25.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.703.703.9828.57%27.02%27.03%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 50.71% ; Sandvikens IF (Visiteur) : 24.76% ; Match nul : 24.53%. Pour Sandvikens IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.00, pour une espérance de -0.954% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -4.15%E -2.20%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -6.65%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.59%EV -10.24%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.66%E -2.48%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:51
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.91%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.12%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:46
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:54
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -2.19%E -0.555%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.91%EV -2.39%E -0.600%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:54
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.66%EV -6.90%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 12:55
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:46
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:46
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -8.21%E -4.54%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.43%E -0.880%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.10%E -3.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -9.73%E -5.47%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 12:46
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -18.29%E -5.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -13.28%E -7.77%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -13.79%E -8.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -0.954%E -0.238%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 12:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-07-26 12:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-07-26 12:55