La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v Sandvikens IF

Inicio: 2026-07-26 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 50.71%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -4.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.19%50.78%50.81%53.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.821.8958.82%55.06%54.95%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandvikens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 24.76%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.954%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.318%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%24.66%24.73%26.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.05%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.53%4.08momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.91%24.56%24.45%25.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.703.703.9828.57%27.02%27.03%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -4.15%E -2.20%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -6.65%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.59%EV -10.24%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.66%E -2.48%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:51
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.91%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.12%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -5.17%E -2.76%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:46
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:46
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:45
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:54
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.18%E -3.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:55
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -6.69%E -3.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.67%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.58%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -2.19%E -0.555%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.91%EV -2.39%E -0.600%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 12:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:54
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.20%E -3.93%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -15.81%E -4.65%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 12:45
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.66%EV -6.90%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 12:55
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:46
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:46
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:55
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.33%E -3.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:45
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -8.21%E -4.54%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.38%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 12:45
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.43%E -0.880%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.35%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 12:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 12:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.10%E -3.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:51
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.72%E -4.84%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -9.73%E -5.47%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 12:46
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 12:55
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -18.29%E -5.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 12:50
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 50.93%EV -13.28%E -7.77%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.19%EV -10.86%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 12:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -13.79%E -8.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -0.954%E -0.238%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 12:51
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-07-26 12:55
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-07-26 12:55