Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v Östersunds FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 1–1 Östersunds FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 40.93%2.44cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.53%40.86%40.89%42.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.262.3847.62%44.08%44.15%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.00%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.789%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.78%32.13%32.06%34.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.832.803.0538.17%35.35%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.451%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.73%27.01%27.06%28.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.62%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 40.93% ; Östersunds FK (Visiteur) : 32.00% ; Match nul : 27.07%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.65, pour une espérance de -1.19% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -2.41%E -0.789%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 12:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 12:30
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 08:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 12:30
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -1.19%E -0.327%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 13:40
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -5.29%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -5.80%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -4.97%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -15.21%E -5.74%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-14 08:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -16.17%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 08:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:50
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 08:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 12:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.00%E -5.58%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.17%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-14 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.79%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-14 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-14 12:40