La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 1–1 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 40.93%2.44momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.53%40.86%40.89%42.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.262.3847.62%44.08%44.15%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 32.00%3.13momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.78%32.13%32.06%34.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.832.803.0538.17%35.35%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.451%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.73%27.01%27.06%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.62%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -2.41%E -0.789%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 12:50
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 12:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 12:40
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 12:30
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 08:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 12:50
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 12:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -1.19%E -0.327%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 13:40
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -5.29%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -5.80%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 12:50
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -4.97%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 12:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.01%E -4.37%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 08:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -15.21%E -5.74%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 12:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-14 08:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.85%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 12:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -16.17%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 08:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 12:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 12:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 12:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 08:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 12:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.00%E -5.58%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.17%E -6.17%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-14 10:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-14 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.79%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-14 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-14 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-14 12:40