Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v IK Oddevold

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:05 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 0–1 IK Oddevold

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 43.63%2.29fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.77%43.77%43.50%46.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oddevold (Visit)

Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.428%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%29.61%29.82%33.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.083.103.4038.17%32.43%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.62%26.69%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6431.25%29.46%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 43.63%; IK Oddevold (Visit): 29.71%; Draw: 26.65%. For IK Oddevold (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -15.79%E -8.18%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV +1.03%E +0.302%K +0.428%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.61%EV -8.80%E -4.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV +0.433%E +0.128%K +0.182%G +0.001%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.19%EV -2.99%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -1.94%E -0.589%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -1.94%E -0.589%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:45
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -1.94%E -0.589%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:46
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.80%E -4.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -2.24%E -0.681%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -8.32%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.43%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.55%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.73%E -6.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 10:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:55
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.24%E -4.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -6.40%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.73%E -6.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -7.89%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 10:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 10:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.55%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 10:54
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:30
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -10.11%E -4.91%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 10:35
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.18%EV -11.86%E -5.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.57%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -11.86%E -5.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -11.86%E -5.87%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-08 10:30
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.37%E -3.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.42%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -22.15%E -8.45%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-08 10:46
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-08 10:55

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