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Ljungskile SK v IK Brage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ljungskile SK (Local)
Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.79%44.02%43.60%47.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.062.102.2054.05%48.65%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Brage (Visit)
Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +0.936%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%29.72%29.91%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.103.4536.36%32.23%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%26.26%26.48%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7530.30%28.45%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 43.85%; IK Brage (Visit): 29.92%; Draw: 26.23%. For IK Brage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV +3.23%E +0.936%K +1.32%G +0.043% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.440%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV +3.23%E +0.936%K +1.32%G +0.043% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.440%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV +3.23%E +0.936%K +1.32%G +0.043% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.440%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -14.05%E -7.17%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV +3.23%E +0.936%K +1.32%G +0.043% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.440%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -16.24%E -8.50%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.36%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -1.56%E -0.474%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -9.52%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 10:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 06:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -17.56%E -9.34%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.96%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 06:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -4.40%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -15.37%E -7.96%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -18.87%E -10.20%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.92%EV -3.97%E -1.81%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.22%EV -6.94%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -4.84%E -2.23%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.67%EV -7.94%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 06:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.52%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -9.23%E -4.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.27%EV -9.04%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.28%EV -4.53%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 06:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 06:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.10%E -4.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 06:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -13.17%E -6.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -7.03%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.52%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.45%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.83%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.83%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.13%E -4.92%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.13%E -4.92%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.83%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%EV -14.49%E -7.43%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -17.72%E -6.44%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-17 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 0.2% | 2026-10-17 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 10:40 |