Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 0–1 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 45.80%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.14%45.90%45.77%49.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.002.1454.64%49.75%50.00%46.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV -0.555%
Avantage -0.159%
Kelly -0.222%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%28.35%28.39%30.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.24%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.742%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.76%25.84%26.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.7730.30%28.59%28.57%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 45.80% ; IFK Värnamo (Visiteur) : 28.41% ; Match nul : 25.78%. Pour IFK Värnamo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -0.555% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.98%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -2.80%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 10:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -7.02%E -3.46%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.37%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.70%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 10:45
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 10:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.26%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -5.39%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:31
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 10:35
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.555%E -0.159%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:40
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:34
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:44
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 10:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 10:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 10:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 10:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -17.60%E -6.07%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.54%EV -13.89%E -7.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -16.18%E -8.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -0.555%E -0.159%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%1.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%1.8%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%1.8%2026-08-29 10:50