Idioma:Español
Ljungskile SK v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ljungskile SK (Local)
Predicción 45.80%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.14%45.90%45.77%49.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.012.002.1454.64%49.75%50.00%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 28.41%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.555%
Ventaja -0.159%
Kelly -0.222%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%28.35%28.39%30.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.24%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.742%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.24%25.76%25.84%26.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.7730.30%28.59%28.57%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ljungskile SK (Local): 45.80%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 28.41%; Empate: 25.78%. Para IFK Värnamo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -0.555%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.98%E -0.925%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.26%EV -2.80%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.56%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -7.02%E -3.46%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.37%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.70%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.26%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%EV -5.39%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 10:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.555%E -0.159%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 10:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 10:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -12.51%E -6.55%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -17.60%E -6.07%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.54%EV -13.89%E -7.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -16.18%E -8.84%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -0.555%E -0.159%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |