Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v IFK Norrkoping

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 29.50%3.39cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.518%
Kelly +0.729%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%29.50%29.61%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.123.4535.71%31.85%32.05%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.72%2.19cote équitable
EV -4.90%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.84%45.59%47.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.991.982.0852.91%50.31%50.51%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.78%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.897%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.299%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.67%24.80%26.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.704.0031.25%27.03%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 29.50% ; IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur) : 45.72% ; Match nul : 24.78%. Pour Ljungskile SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV +1.79%E +0.518%K +0.729%G +0.013%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -8.10%E -4.03%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.11%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.78%EV -9.47%E -4.78%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -1.39%E -0.350%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 10:59
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.13%E -6.91%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59%EV -13.59%E -7.19%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:57
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:00
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:00
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -7.95%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -7.95%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -9.47%E -4.78%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.897%E -0.224%K -0.299%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 10:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 11:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -13.13%E -6.91%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.67%E -6.64%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.72%E -6.47%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -12.67%E -6.64%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00