La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v IFK Norrkoping

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.518%
Kelly +0.729%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%29.50%29.61%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.123.4535.71%31.85%32.05%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 45.72%2.19momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.74%45.84%45.59%47.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.991.982.0852.91%50.31%50.51%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.78%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.224%
Kelly -0.299%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.67%24.80%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.704.0031.25%27.03%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV +1.79%E +0.518%K +0.729%G +0.013%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -8.10%E -4.03%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -9.93%E -5.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -1.16%E -0.347%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -11.30%E -5.83%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.76%E -6.09%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.11%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.78%EV -9.47%E -4.78%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 10:59
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -1.39%E -0.350%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 10:59
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -13.13%E -6.91%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59%EV -13.59%E -7.19%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:57
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:00
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.64%E -3.78%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:00
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.99%EV -7.95%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.90%E -2.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -7.95%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:00
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -9.47%E -4.78%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.75%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 10:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.897%E -0.224%K -0.299%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -5.36%E -2.59%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:59
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 10:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.27%E -3.06%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.84%E -5.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 11:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -13.13%E -6.91%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.67%E -6.64%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.72%E -6.47%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.56%E -4.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 10:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -12.67%E -6.64%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.28%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-11 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-04-11 11:00