Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 42.35%2.36fair odd
EV +0.802%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.581%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.16%42.20%42.60%44.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.192.3848.78%45.06%45.66%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 30.96%3.23fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.47%31.06%30.73%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.803.2237.04%34.51%35.71%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.74%26.67%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 42.35%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 30.96%; Draw: 26.69%. For Ljungskile SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.802%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV +0.802%E +0.337%K +0.581%G +0.005%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV +0.802%E +0.337%K +0.581%G +0.005%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV +0.802%E +0.337%K +0.581%G +0.005%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV +0.802%E +0.337%K +0.581%G +0.005%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:29
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 06:29
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:29
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -1.32%E -0.565%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -16.41%E -6.08%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.22%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.84%E -3.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 17:04
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.82%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.25%E -3.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.936%E -0.292%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.25%E -3.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.936%E -0.292%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:19
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.25%E -3.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.936%E -0.292%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:19
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:04
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -8.09%E -3.73%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.47%EV -0.317%E -0.098%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.80%EV -5.52%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:45
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -8.52%E -3.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.66%EV -2.79%E -0.890%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.23%EV -8.72%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:03
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:41
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 22:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 22:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 22:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -16.41%E -6.08%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-21 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -9.36%E -4.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -3.41%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -8.72%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 23:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.06%E -5.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -11.06%E -5.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -16.41%E -6.08%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -19.93%E -6.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 17:05
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -13.17%E -6.43%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 03:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.17%E -6.43%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.93%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-24 03:20