L’École des cotes

Ljungskile SK v GIF Sundsvall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 15:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 1–0 GIF Sundsvall

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 58.30%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.301%
Avantage -0.176%
Kelly -0.423%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.82%58.33%58.44%61.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.601.581.7168.03%62.39%63.29%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GIF Sundsvall (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.47%5.72cote équitable
EV +3.09%
Avantage +0.524%
Kelly +0.631%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.55%17.39%17.45%19.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.125.005.9021.28%19.54%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.777%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.12%24.27%24.11%26.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.12%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -10.21%E -6.63%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +3.09%E +0.524%K +0.631%G +0.019%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -14.29%E -9.72%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.34%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-14 14:46
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.41%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.26%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 14:51
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.70%EV -3.02%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.26%EV -7.47%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:55
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:51
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:50
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -9.63%E -6.21%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.54%E -8.36%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 14:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:45
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:46
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.43%EV -6.17%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.44%EV -7.22%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:46
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:46
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 14:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 14:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.80%E -7.06%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 14:46
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 14:17
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:54
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 14:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 14:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.80%E -7.06%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 14:45
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 58.74%EV -14.29%E -9.72%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.54%E -8.36%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -17.64%E -5.19%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:45
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:45
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:55
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.22%E -1.94%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 14:46
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -17.88%E -3.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55