La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-05-14 15:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 1–0 GIF Sundsvall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 58.30%1.72momio equitativo
EV -0.301%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.423%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.82%58.33%58.44%61.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.601.581.7168.03%62.39%63.29%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 17.47%5.72momio equitativo
EV +3.09%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +0.631%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.55%17.39%17.45%19.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.125.005.9021.28%19.54%20.00%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%24.27%24.11%26.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.12%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -10.21%E -6.63%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +3.09%E +0.524%K +0.631%G +0.019%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -14.29%E -9.72%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.34%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-14 14:46
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.41%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.26%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 14:51
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.70%EV -3.02%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.26%EV -7.47%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:55
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:51
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:50
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -9.63%E -6.21%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.54%E -8.36%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 14:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:45
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.55%E -3.42%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.65%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 14:46
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.43%EV -6.17%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.44%EV -7.22%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:46
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:46
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -3.11%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 14:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 14:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -10.80%E -7.06%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-14 14:46
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 14:17
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:54
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 14:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 14:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.80%E -7.06%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 14:45
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 58.74%EV -14.29%E -9.72%K -30.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.54%E -8.36%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -17.64%E -5.19%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:45
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:45
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -0.301%E -0.176%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -11.59%E -3.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -7.88%E -4.99%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:55
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:45
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -3.22%E -1.94%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 14:46
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:46
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.46%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.80%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-14 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -17.88%E -3.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -16.43%E -4.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-14 14:55