Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 13:02 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 1–0 Östersunds FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.16%44.95%48.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.052.052.1253.48%48.66%48.66%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.524%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.28%27.44%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.6033.33%30.11%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.55%27.61%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.353.5533.33%30.24%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oddevold (Local): 45.04%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 27.40%; Draw: 27.56%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:58
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 13:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:59
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -5.87%E -2.81%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.72%EV -2.18%E -0.612%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 12:58
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:59
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 12:45
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.34%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -8.50%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.39%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -7.40%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 13:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -2.16%E -0.609%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 12:58
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 12:59
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 12:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 13:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 12:59
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 12:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 13:00
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.02%E -4.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 12:59
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 12:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.92%E -4.96%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.80%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.32%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.17%E -6.24%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -12.17%E -6.24%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-23 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -15.77%E -8.44%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-23 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-23 13:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-05-23 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-23 13:00