The School of Odds
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IK Oddevold v Östers IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -6.26%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.95%38.45%38.26%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.352.322.4543.86%42.49%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.82%34.89%34.85%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.692.702.7541.67%37.18%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%26.66%26.89%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.493.503.6429.41%28.62%28.57%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oddevold (Local): 38.26%; Östers IF (Visit): 34.85%; Draw: 26.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.64, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -6.61%E -2.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -6.61%E -2.47%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 14:08
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.09%EV -7.79%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.26%E -2.33%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.88%EV -2.11%E -0.580%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.94%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.94%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.94%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -8.94%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -11.24%E -4.84%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.87%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -12.00%E -5.22%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.22%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.00%E -5.22%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -16.37%E -6.82%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 12:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -12.77%E -5.60%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.56%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.