L’École des cotes

IK Oddevold v Örebro SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 17:05 UTC

Score final : IK Oddevold 4–1 Örebro SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prévision 47.27%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.11%47.34%47.23%50.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.951.952.0555.56%51.28%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örebro SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.39%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -0.812%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.55%24.37%24.44%25.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.801%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.320%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.72%28.29%28.33%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.273.5033.33%30.56%30.53%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -3.10%E -1.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:51
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.18%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.94%EV -2.92%E -0.735%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 14:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -8.29%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:51
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:51
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 16:51
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -6.89%E -3.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.74%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.44%E -0.609%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 16:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:55
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -8.78%E -4.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -17.07%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-18 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -11.14%E -5.93%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 14:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.24%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.44%E -0.609%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 16:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-18 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 16:55