La escuela de los momios

IK Oddevold v Örebro SK

Inicio: 2026-05-18 17:05 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 4–1 Örebro SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Predicción 47.27%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.11%47.34%47.23%50.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.951.952.0555.56%51.28%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Predicción 24.39%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -0.812%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%24.37%24.44%25.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.34%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.801%
Ventaja -0.229%
Kelly -0.320%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.72%28.29%28.33%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.273.5033.33%30.56%30.53%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -3.10%E -1.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:51
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:51
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.18%EV -4.52%E -2.24%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.94%EV -2.92%E -0.735%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 14:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 16:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:51
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -8.29%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:51
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:51
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 16:51
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.06%EV -6.89%E -3.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.74%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -0.801%E -0.229%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 14:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.44%E -0.609%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 16:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.83%E -4.02%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.89%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:55
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -8.78%E -4.55%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 17:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -2.22%E -0.643%K -0.905%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.63%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.30%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-18 16:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 17:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -17.07%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-18 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -11.14%E -5.93%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 14:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.53%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.14%E -3.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-18 16:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.24%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -14.97%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-18 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.44%E -0.609%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 16:46
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-18 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-05-18 16:55