The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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IK Oddevold v IK Brage

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 18:00 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 2–1 IK Brage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 58.22%1.72fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.01%58.27%58.09%60.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.581.6868.03%62.75%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Brage (Visit)

Prediction 19.53%5.12fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.60%19.51%19.65%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.584.505.0323.81%21.86%22.22%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%22.22%22.26%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.024.004.4027.03%24.88%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oddevold (Local): 58.22%; IK Brage (Visit): 19.53%; Draw: 22.24%. For IK Brage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.03, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.19%E -1.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.19%E -1.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.19%E -1.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.19%E -1.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -6.24%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -7.68%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 12:30
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -16.01%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 17:40
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.33%EV -3.31%E -0.669%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.95%EV -3.01%E -0.691%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-30 17:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.24%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.34%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.22%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 17:34
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -17.96%E -4.28%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -16.58%E -4.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 04:40
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.22%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.96%EV -1.75%E -0.348%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -2.79%E -0.638%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.29%E -0.875%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -4.35%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -8.20%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -8.20%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -8.20%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -17.96%E -4.28%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.58%E -4.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -8.20%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 17:35
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.15%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.73%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -7.22%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.15%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.15%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -17.96%E -4.28%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -17.69%E -4.78%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -8.01%E -5.07%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -17.96%E -4.28%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -17.69%E -4.78%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.34%E -0.467%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 17:38
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.34%E -0.467%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 17:34
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.834%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 17:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-30 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.15%E -2.21%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 17:34
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.48%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.06%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 17:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 17:30
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 17:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.58%E -4.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.34%E -0.467%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.12%E -0.482%K -0.624%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.76%E -6.29%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -3.31%E -0.669%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.92%E -7.14%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -7.22%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -12.08%E -8.00%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -12.10%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.67%E -8.44%K -25.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.42%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-30 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -14.41%E -9.80%K -30.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -6.24%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -2.12%E -0.482%K -0.624%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-10-30 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-10-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-10-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-10-30 17:50