Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold v Falkenbergs FF

2026-09-05 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV -6.54%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.95%45.59%45.59%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.962.0552.63%50.42%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%28.12%28.12%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.4032.26%30.67%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.29%26.29%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.483.453.6029.85%28.72%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Oddevold (Local): 45.59%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 28.12%; Draw: 26.29%. For Falkenbergs FF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -4.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.16%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.75%EV -9.45%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.54%E -3.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -7.91%E -3.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -7.91%E -3.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -7.91%E -3.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -7.91%E -3.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -8.82%E -4.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.82%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:25
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -10.64%E -5.43%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.07%EV -12.01%E -6.22%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -13.38%E -7.04%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -13.38%E -7.04%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-29 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.