The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage v Östers IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 15:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 4–5 Östers IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.71%47.18%47.05%51.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.951.952.1357.14%51.23%51.28%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%28.47%28.51%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.29%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.41%24.35%24.44%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.674.0428.99%27.07%27.21%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 47.05%; Östers IF (Visit): 28.54%; Draw: 24.41%. For IK Brage (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.125. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.130, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.220%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV +0.220%E +0.103%K +0.195%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:20
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.31%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 14:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.88%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.42%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.70%EV -1.38%E -0.342%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.58%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 14:53
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.94%EV -6.37%E -3.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -1.62%E -0.403%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 14:50
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -6.37%E -3.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.41%EV -7.54%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 07:00
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.97%E -0.874%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:53
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.83%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.68%E -2.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 11:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.68%E -2.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 07:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.87%EV -8.72%E -4.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.71%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 13:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -9.19%E -4.76%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.68%E -2.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 12:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.68%E -2.71%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 09:19
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 07:30
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 07:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.87%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -12.96%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.87%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -12.96%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.60%E -5.58%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.11%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 11:05
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -12.48%E -6.71%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-24 12:01
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.74%EV -13.90%E -7.59%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.50%EV -17.24%E -5.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-24 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -17.66%E -10.09%K -23.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -2.97%E -0.874%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-10-24 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-10-24 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-10-24 14:55