The School of Odds
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IK Brage v Norrby IF

2026-11-07 14:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.44%43.32%43.67%44.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.122.2548.78%46.73%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 30.54%3.27fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%30.88%30.42%33.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1437.04%34.40%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.579%
Kelly +0.775%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.80%25.91%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.9530.30%28.41%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Brage (Local): 43.56%; Norrby IF (Visit): 30.54%; Draw: 25.90%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.95, producing a positive expected value of +2.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.39%EV -1.99%E -0.885%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -12.95%E -4.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%EV +2.29%E +0.579%K +0.775%G +0.018%4.8%2026-11-03 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -2.86%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -2.86%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -2.86%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -2.86%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 08:30
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -7.22%E -3.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.97%EV -4.09%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.85%EV -5.74%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-03 08:44
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-03 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-03 10:20
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51%EV -5.91%E -2.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 08:45
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.67%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.25%EV -6.53%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.27%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 09:19
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-03 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-03 09:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-03 09:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-03 09:20
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:30
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:30
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:30
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:30
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -16.00%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-03 08:29
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-03 10:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-03 08:50
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.44%EV -6.78%E -3.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -17.53%E -6.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-03 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -17.53%E -6.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-03 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -17.53%E -6.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-03 08:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-03 10:19
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-03 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-03 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.37%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-03 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.