A Escola das Odds

IK Brage v Ljungskile SK

Início: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 2–2 Ljungskile SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Previsão 36.54%2.74odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.61%36.84%36.52%39.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.452.6543.48%40.52%40.82%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Previsão 36.55%2.74odd justa
EV +2.35%
Vantagem +0.840%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.60%36.31%36.61%37.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.90%39.22%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.91%3.72odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.84%26.84%26.88%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.54%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 21:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 21:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 21:59
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-07 21:59
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-07 21:59
Coolbet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.69%EV -7.57%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -1.67%E -0.621%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 17:17
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -14.87%E -6.38%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-07 21:59
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.21%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 15:19
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -15.97%E -6.94%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-09 15:49
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 04:09
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 04:09
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 12:37
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-09 09:39
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.47%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.15%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:18
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:48
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 12:39
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 08:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 08:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 08:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-09 08:49
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 12:39
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:18
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 12:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 08:49
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-09 12:39
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-09 08:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-09 08:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 08:49
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-09 08:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -19.27%E -6.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-09 12:39
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.97%E -6.94%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.93%E -6.92%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-09 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-06-09 15:50