La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IK Brage v Ljungskile SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Brage (Local)
Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.61%36.84%36.52%39.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.6543.48%40.52%40.82%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ljungskile SK (Visitante)
Predicción 36.55%2.74momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.840%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.60%36.31%36.61%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.552.8043.48%38.90%39.22%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.91%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.84%26.84%26.88%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.54%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV +2.35%E +0.840%K +1.31%G +0.031% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.85%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -1.30%E -0.483%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.69%EV -7.57%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.45%EV -1.67%E -0.621%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 17:17 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -14.87%E -6.38%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-07 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.21%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| BetUS | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -15.97%E -6.94%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-07 04:09 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-07 04:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.12%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 12:37 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-09 09:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.47%E -2.53%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.15%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 15:18 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 15:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 12:39 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.61%E -3.45%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 12:39 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 15:18 |
| BetAnything | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.16%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 12:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.50%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-09 12:39 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.26%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.81%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.05%E -5.48%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-09 08:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -12.32%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.00%E -5.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -19.27%E -6.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-09 12:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.97%E -6.94%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -15.93%E -6.92%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -11.20%E -3.39%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-09 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.9% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |