Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 2–0 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -0.200%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.145%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.21%41.95%41.92%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.202.3850.00%45.12%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 31.94%3.13fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.96%31.98%34.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.0739.22%35.51%35.71%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%26.09%26.10%27.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.7030.30%28.79%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 41.93%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 31.94%; Draw: 26.13%. For IK Brage (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.385. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.380, with an expected value of -0.200%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -0.200%E -0.084%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -0.200%E -0.084%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -0.200%E -0.084%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -0.200%E -0.084%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.34%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:13
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -15.35%E -5.79%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.23%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.23%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.23%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 14:44
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.08%EV -1.94%E -0.632%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.18%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 14:38
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.28%EV -6.47%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 08:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -16.95%E -6.52%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-04 12:15
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.97%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.21%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.29%EV -18.55%E -7.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-03 02:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.21%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.29%EV -18.55%E -7.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-03 02:30
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.67%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 08:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.47%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.53%EV -9.61%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 14:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 06:59
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 14:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.97%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 07:01
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 06:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 06:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 06:01
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 14:38
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 14:40
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 14:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 06:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-11 07:01
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 14:39
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 14:39
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:39
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 07:31
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -12.78%E -6.14%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.04%E -6.85%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.76%E -5.10%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-11 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -16.13%E -8.07%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.34%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 11:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-10-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-10-11 14:55
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-10-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-10-11 14:55