The School of Odds
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IK Brage v Helsingborgs IF

2026-10-11 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%39.33%39.51%40.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.3546.51%43.67%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 34.58%2.89fair odd
EV -5.94%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.77%34.58%34.48%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.622.7240.00%38.11%38.17%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.09%26.01%27.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.453.7030.30%29.00%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Brage (Local): 39.33%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 34.58%; Draw: 26.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -3.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.36%E -3.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 09:27
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.51%EV -8.35%E -3.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV -7.67%E -2.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.65%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 10:21
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.51%EV -8.35%E -3.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV -7.67%E -2.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.01%EV -7.65%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 09:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -8.75%E -3.77%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 09:24
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.64%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 09:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-22 09:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 09:44
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 09:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 09:44
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.47%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-22 09:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -15.43%E -7.18%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-22 09:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.