The School of Odds
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IFK Värnamo v Sandvikens IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 0–1 Sandvikens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prediction 49.44%2.02fair odd
EV -0.124%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%49.39%49.38%52.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.901.882.0258.82%52.76%53.19%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%25.83%25.80%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.403.8332.26%28.97%29.41%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.78%24.82%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.603.9528.99%27.50%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 49.44%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 24.81%. For IFK Värnamo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.023. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.020, with an expected value of -0.124%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.124%E -0.061%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.124%E -0.061%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.124%E -0.061%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -0.124%E -0.061%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 10:30
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:29
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:30
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -3.58%E -1.84%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -3.58%E -1.84%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -20.20%E -6.52%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -4.57%E -2.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -18.91%E -6.00%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 19:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -5.07%E -2.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.65%EV -5.79%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.44%EV -8.43%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 10:46
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 10:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.19%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 10:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 10:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 10:46
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 10:46
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -5.56%E -2.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 10:46
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.06%E -3.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 10:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -6.06%E -3.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -20.20%E -6.52%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -14.39%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -6.06%E -3.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -20.20%E -6.52%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -14.39%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 19:44
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.94%EV -1.41%E -0.368%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.25%EV -2.23%E -0.566%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 10:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.43%E -2.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -1.67%E -0.437%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.98%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 10:51
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.46%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 10:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 10:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 10:46
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 10:45
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.79%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 10:46
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.54%E -4.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 10:50
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 10:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.75%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.71%EV -7.85%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:46
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:46
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:46
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.53%E -4.61%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 10:46
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 10:46
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -11.91%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 10:46
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.01%E -5.50%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -13.15%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-24 10:46
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.00%E -6.11%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.67%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-24 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -15.95%E -9.38%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-10-24 10:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-24 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-24 10:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-24 10:46