The School of Odds
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IFK Värnamo v IK Oddevold

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.85%45.08%44.85%48.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.092.1652.36%48.44%47.85%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oddevold (Visit)

Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV +6.95%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.176%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.47%28.35%28.58%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.7533.33%31.24%31.25%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.57%26.57%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.7033.33%29.50%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 44.91%; IK Oddevold (Visit): 28.52%; Draw: 26.56%. For IK Oddevold (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.72%EV -11.97%E -6.11%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV +6.95%E +1.85%K +2.53%G +0.176%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -1.71%E -0.462%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 09:45
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.59%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.95%EV -4.17%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.70%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:00
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.98%EV -7.03%E -3.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.96%EV -5.03%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -8.62%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -5.31%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.62%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.58%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -13.31%E -6.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -2.98%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -2.98%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -2.98%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -2.98%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 10:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:12
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 17:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:54
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:14
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 11:04
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 10:54
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.16%E -3.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 11:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -14.99%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -14.99%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -14.99%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -14.99%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 11:04
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -7.48%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.67%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.17%E -5.09%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -20.31%E -6.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 17:46
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.67%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.