Language:English
IFK Värnamo v Falkenbergs FF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.891%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%40.25%40.21%41.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4547.62%44.03%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkenbergs FF (Visit)
Prediction 32.98%3.03fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.528%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.09%33.17%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.753.0038.46%36.29%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.66%26.62%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.403.7030.77%29.10%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 40.29%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 32.98%; Draw: 26.73%. For Falkenbergs FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -1.29%E -0.528%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -3.31%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.50%EV -7.32%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.78%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -1.06%E -0.352%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.42%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.71%E -0.917%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.35%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 06:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.34%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -14.25%E -5.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 12:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.01%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -12.60%E -4.75%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.95%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -13.59%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -13.26%E -5.04%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -13.26%E -5.04%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.59%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.35%E -4.16%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.59%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -10.16%E -4.55%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -12.60%E -4.75%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.65%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 12:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -13.26%E -5.04%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.36%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -13.26%E -5.04%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.38%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -9.30%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.13%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.75%EV -13.59%E -5.19%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -13.13%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:50 |