La scuola delle quote

IFK Norrkoping v Varbergs BoIS

Inizio: 2026-06-15 17:05 UTC

Finale: IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Varbergs BoIS

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Casa)

Previsione 45.33%2.21quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.92%45.46%45.32%48.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.872.022.022.1253.48%49.53%49.50%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Varbergs BoIS (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.10%3.56quota equa
EV -0.244%
Vantaggio -0.069%
Kelly -0.096%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.41%28.05%28.14%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.273.253.5533.33%30.55%30.77%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.57%3.76quota equa
EV -4.34%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.10%26.49%26.54%29.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.453.503.6034.72%28.97%28.57%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 22:40
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 09:29
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 16:51
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 16:50
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -1.37%E -0.390%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.46%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 16:51
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 16:51
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:00
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 16:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 17:00
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -10.18%E -3.01%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 16:51
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 16:50
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.29%E -4.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-15 16:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-15 16:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:00
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:00
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:00
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:51
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 17:01
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:51
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:50
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:51
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:51
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:50
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-15 15:40
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.80%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -2.77%E -0.801%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -4.87%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 16:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 17:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-15 16:58
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-15 16:51
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:01
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-15 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-15 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.71%E -5.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-15 17:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.61%E -5.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-15 17:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.61%E -5.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-15 17:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -13.43%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-15 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -13.43%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -23.47%E -8.15%K -12.48%G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-15 17:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-15 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-15 16:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-06-15 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-06-15 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-06-15 17:00
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-06-15 17:01