La escuela de los momiosIFK Norrkoping v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Norrkoping (Local)
Predicción 45.33%2.21momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.92%45.46%45.32%48.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.022.022.1253.48%49.53%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 28.10%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.244%
Ventaja -0.069%
Kelly -0.096%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%28.05%28.14%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.5533.33%30.55%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.57%3.76momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.10%26.49%26.54%29.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.453.503.6034.72%28.97%28.57%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.24%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 09:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -1.37%E -0.390%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.46%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -6.63%E -3.22%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -10.18%E -3.01%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.29%E -4.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -0.244%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.80%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -2.77%E -0.801%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -4.87%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 16:58 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-15 16:51 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 17:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.71%E -5.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.61%E -5.96%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.61%E -5.96%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -13.43%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -13.43%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -23.47%E -8.15%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-15 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:01 |