L’École des cotes

IFK Norrkoping v Sandvikens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 11:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Norrkoping 3–0 Sandvikens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 60.57%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.90%
Avantage -3.12%
Kelly -8.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.35%60.48%60.55%62.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.511.5768.97%65.90%66.23%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sandvikens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.18%5.50cote équitable
EV +0.006%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.05%18.21%18.21%20.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.115.005.5023.09%19.56%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.24%4.71cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.30%21.24%23.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.284.334.5025.64%23.38%23.09%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.34%EV -0.539%E -0.099%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.86%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 10:45
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 10:45
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:49
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -14.18%E -3.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 10:50
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.63%E -0.685%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 10:20
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 10:35
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -12.17%E -8.39%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -12.17%E -8.39%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 10:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -6.36%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 10:50
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 10:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 10:54
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 10:40
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 10:50
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 10:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -12.90%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 10:35
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.72%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 10:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 10:50
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 09:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -5.47%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 10:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -5.47%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 10:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 10:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-19 10:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -10.96%E -7.45%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 10:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 10:55
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 10:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 10:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -21.27%E -4.91%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-19 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-07-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50